Monday, July 20, 2009

President Obama's Dwindling Political Capital and What It Means for CIR and Gay Rights

No one said it was going to be easy, but six months into President Obama's term his approval rating has dropped below 60 percent, with more people disapproving his handling of the economy and deficit than not. From his recent pressers and speeches, it appears that President Obama is going to spend the bulk of his remaining political capital on health care reform, a signature issue during his campaign.

With President Obama going "all in" with health care, what does it mean for the other issues, such as comprehensive immigration reform and gay rights?

Well, it's apparent that he'd like to push gay rights further to the back burner, until his second term. As to immigration reform, Congress must pass health care by Labor Day to even have a shot at CIR. Right now with the American public losing faith in President Obama's heath care reform bill, all the stars have to align for it to happen before Labor Day.

Even if health care is taken care of by then, it's not clear if Democrats would still have the stomach to take on an even thornier issue, not with the GOP waiting with glee for the Dems to over-extend themselves.

So most likely the Democrats will try to placate the Hispanic community by introducing CIR, but take their sweet time and drag in on until it's too late for any action.

As for gay rights? Well, Senator Harry Reid and Speaker Nancy Pelosi hope you're happy with the Hate Crime Bill and EDNA and forget about DOMA altogether.

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