Congressman predicts a 50% chance to repeal DADT or DOMA in this congress

Rep. Earl Blumenauer, who wrote an article on the Huffington Post explaining his vote for DOMA in 1996 and his current support of the RMA, tells the AP that he thinks there's a 50% chance for this congress to repeal either DADT or DOMA.

Jeana Frazzini, the executive director of Basic Rights Oregon, said Blumenauer's 50-percent prediction might not be that far off.

"It's just a very different climate than it was 10 years ago, so I think it's completely do-able for this congress to repeal 'don't ask don't tell' or the Defense of Marriage Act," Frazzini said.

Note that Rep Blumenauer used "either or" but not "and", and clearly DADT Repeal is ahead of RMA in congressional leaders agenda. So even if the 50% is real, it would probably only apply to DADT Repeal.